Wargaming

Pressure-test your strategy before the market does.

Assign Red Team (competitor), Blue Team (us), and a Control Cell. Define objectives, constraints, and success metrics for each role.

Red Team — Competitor

Play the named competitor to win. Use their actual capabilities, cash position, and incentives. Aggressively exploit any Blue blind spot.

Staffing
  • Strategy lead (chair)
  • Competitive intel analyst with deep dossier on target
  • Ex-employee or industry advisor (if available)
  • Commercial lead familiar with their channel
Success metrics
  • Share captured (modeled %)
  • Time to coverage decision
  • Surprise factor on Blue (1–5)

Blue Team — Us

Defend our position and convert the disruption into advantage. Decisions must be defensible, executable in 90 days, and within current budget envelope.

Staffing
  • Product GM (chair)
  • Clinical & medical affairs
  • Commercial / market access
  • Regulatory & quality
  • Comms / patient marketing
Success metrics
  • Net share retained
  • TIR / safety story preserved
  • Cash burn vs plan

Control Cell — Facilitators

Run the clock, inject events, adjudicate ambiguous moves, and keep both teams honest about real-world frictions (FDA timelines, payer cycles, supply).

Staffing
  • Wargame facilitator
  • Scribe / logger
  • Subject matter umpires (regulatory, payer, clinical)
Success metrics
  • Turns completed on time
  • Quality of after-action insights
  • Actionable decisions logged

External Forces (Optional)

Plays FDA, CMS, top 3 payers, KOLs, and patient advocates. Reacts to both teams' moves with realistic timelines and incentives.

Staffing
  • Ex-FDA reviewer or consultant
  • Payer / pricing advisor
  • KOL or patient advocate
Success metrics
  • Realism of injects (peer review)
  • Coverage of stakeholder POVs